What is the context in Europe for the Healthcare Real Estate market?
The nursing home asset class has demonstrated its resilience during the pandemic crisis of Covid-19 with increasing investment volumes.
After several years of successive rise, investment volume in nursing home properties has decreased in 2022 across Europe with the notable exception of Belgium, the Netherlands and the UK.
This slowdown is due to a lack of large portfolio opportunities in the market compared to the record year 2021 and a wait-and-see attitude of investors after the summer of 2022.
Prime yields of nursing homes assets have been experienced a lower increase in 2022 than other commercial real estate asset classes due to level of yields between 4.00% and 5.50% whereas assets with yields below 4.00% have been impacted quickly and sensitively.
However, a correction in nursing home yields is underway as a direct result of rising interest rates.
What is the outlook for the nursing home Real Estate market in 2023?
The further course of 2023 will be dominated by controlling inflation, volatility of interest rates and increased ESG-relevance in investment activity
However there is still a significant amount of equity for European-wide investments in healthcare real estate available. Until year-end, and following an upward adjustment, we expect prime yields to stabilize and the number of transactions to raise, especially in the core markets in UK, France and Germany.
