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Insights

Australian CRE Glide Path Report

AUSTRALIAN COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE MARKETS ARE CLEARED FOR TAKE-OFF

Amid an uncertain outlook for interest rates, there has not been a clear path for Australian Commercial Real Estate (CRE) capital markets. That looks set to change as global central banks have started reducing interest rates, with a cut by the US Federal Reserve seemingly imminent. Sentiment around Australian CRE appears to have turned a corner, and there is plenty of dry capital waiting to be deployed.

Historically, CRE values recover once central banks begin to reduce rates. This report gives an in-depth update on recent pricing trends in the listed market and how this is set to evolve over the next 5-year cycle. 

Some of the key insights that you will find in this report:

  • Values in the listed CRE market appear to be stabilising, though office assets may still see some further repricing. 
  • CRE volumes look to have bottomed and are in the midst of a recovery, this will aid price discovery. 
  • Capitalization rates look set to stabilise through 2025, though market yields on current deals are already at this level.  
  • The dip in CRE pricing is near the bottom in office, industrial and retail assets. 
  • The adjustment and subsequent recovery in pricing varies substantially across asset classes.

To find out more download the report here.

 

CONTACTS

Sean Ellison
Sean Ellison

National Economics & Forecasting Manager
Sydney, Australia


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Lin Lee

Senior Strategic Research Analyst
Melbourne, Australia


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Nick Rathgeber
Nick Rathgeber

International Director, Capital Markets, ANZ
Melbourne, Australia


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Dominic Brown

Head of International Research, Global Think Tank
Brisbane, Australia


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Josh Cullen
Josh Cullen

International Director & Head of Capital Markets, ANZ
Sydney, Australia


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Leigh Melbourne

International Director, Capital Markets, ANZ
Melbourne, Australia


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